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Uncertainty

Effective degrees of freedom and when k = 2 is not enough

When Type A components rest on few observations, the combined uncertainty has limited degrees of freedom and k must come from the t-distribution. Welch–Satterthwaite gives the number.

ValiTrac AI editorialUpdated 2026-09-132 min read

The coverage factor 2 assumes a normal output distribution. A Type A component estimated from n readings has ν = n − 1 degrees of freedom and, if it dominates, the output follows a t-distribution instead. The GUM's Welch–Satterthwaite formula combines the degrees of freedom of all components into an effective value, from which k is read from the t-table at 95 %.

Example

Repeatability from 4 readings (ν = 3) is the dominant term. Effective degrees of freedom come out near 4; k for 95 % is about 2.8, not 2. Taking 10 readings instead raises ν to 9 and brings k to roughly 2.3 — the cheapest uncertainty reduction available.

Where distributions are far from normal, or the model is strongly non-linear, GUM Supplement 1's Monte Carlo method avoids the assumption altogether.

Frequently asked questions

Do I need this for every budget?
Check it whenever a Type A component from fewer than about 10 readings contributes more than a quarter of the combined variance. Otherwise k = 2 is adequate.

References

  1. [1]JCGM 100:2008 — Guide to the expression of uncertainty in measurement (GUM)
  2. [2]JCGM 101:2008 — Supplement 1 to the GUM: Propagation of distributions using a Monte Carlo method

General technical guidance written against the cited sources. It is not regulatory or legal advice and does not replace the applicable standard, guideline or a qualified reviewer's judgement.

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